Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 2.555535e-01 3.483783e-01 0.457442 0.592854 0.754267 0.938397 1.162149
2025-12-14 1.324357e-01 2.370138e-01 0.381839 0.586724 0.858837 1.198042 1.642675
2025-12-21 6.361474e-02 1.582188e-01 0.315316 0.567757 0.936746 1.431459 2.118994
2025-12-28 3.134195e-02 1.135488e-01 0.278022 0.574705 1.044356 1.710885 2.678434
2026-01-04 1.378306e-02 8.024198e-02 0.243626 0.573662 1.135234 1.972117 3.231487
2026-01-11 4.503370e-03 5.259042e-02 0.204630 0.551408 1.185377 2.174865 3.713770
2026-01-18 1.050931e-03 3.446826e-02 0.174748 0.535319 1.239159 2.382932 4.212132
2026-01-25 1.529816e-04 2.407261e-02 0.157411 0.538409 1.323618 2.641318 4.794890
2026-02-01 1.376589e-07 1.447890e-02 0.132608 0.516068 1.356265 2.816435 5.258553
2026-02-08 NaN 1.100051e-02 0.128056 0.540802 1.479755 3.145829 5.970081
2026-02-15 NaN 7.162847e-03 0.116029 0.541966 1.555481 3.398074 6.570326
2026-02-22 NaN 5.998289e-03 0.118328 0.583549 1.717028 3.803669 7.424529
2026-03-01 NaN 4.404313e-03 0.115122 0.609474 1.850957 4.172764 8.241587
2026-03-08 NaN 2.768343e-03 0.106967 0.617871 1.948330 4.483099 8.976284
2026-03-15 NaN 1.355810e-03 0.093987 0.605791 1.998884 4.712264 9.587276
2026-03-22 NaN 7.549427e-04 0.088297 0.617098 2.102795 5.041708 10.371418
2026-03-29 NaN 3.300434e-04 0.080646 0.618119 2.182211 5.328819 11.092856
2026-04-05 NaN 6.773108e-05 0.068533 0.595738 2.202661 5.506435 11.636334
2026-04-12 NaN 4.745308e-06 0.059011 0.579301 2.234816 5.706198 12.221286
2026-04-19 NaN 8.699776e-09 0.054265 0.582859 2.317319 6.004826 12.980786
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.045236 0.559376 2.326500 6.160991 13.499918
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.045236 0.585623 2.470379 6.586189 14.491872
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.041284 0.586896 2.546340 6.879246 15.260761